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How power imbalance, misread signs and strategic blunders clouded Hamas’ judgment over Gaza ceasefire

By Mkhaimar Abusada, Visiting Scholar of Global Affairs, Northwestern University

In late February 2025, senior Hamas leader and ex-chairman of its politburo, Mousa Abu Marzouk, said he would not have supported Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel had he known how destructive Israel’s response would have been.

That remarkably frank admission takes on renewed relevance now, just weeks later, after the resumption of Israel’s…

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