What does high immigration mean for the government's popularity? What data on voting habits tells us

By Paul Whiteley, Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex

The news from the Office of National Statistics that net migration reached a record high of 606,000 in 2022 is likely to have embarrassed the government, particularly the home secretary, Suella Braverman. For years, successive prime ministers have promised reductions in net migration, but without much success in delivering them.

But do these numbers actually mean anything for a government hoping to win an election?

The public…

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